Category: Five Minute Macro

The Fed is expected to hold rates this week as stagflation fears grow as oil continues to climb higher. Additionally, concerns over Chinese growth continue and UAW goes on strike.

Inflation figures this week will help drive Fed policy as soft-landing hopes continue but high oil prices are hurting consumer sentiment. ECB meets this week with hopes for one final hike and China continues to step up stimulus efforts.

Policymakers head to Jackson Hole while Chinese growth concerns intensify. Soft landing hopes persist as 2nd quarter earnings season wraps up. Finally, crypto prices drop.

Recession concerns continue to wax and wane as US inflation remains sticky and the Fed continues to provide hawkish guidance following the June pause. China’s glum growth draws stimulus and the Turkish lira slides further as central bank disappoints.

A key Fed decision and inflation data are the main focus of markets this week as recession fears wax and wane. China’s weak growth sparks calls for stimulus while the SEC has crypto exchanges in its crosshairs.

Debt ceiling negotiations remains the focus of capital markets, while the Fed continues to push back on rate cut expectations. Inflation continues to cool but remains elevated while recession fears remain. Finally, concerns remain over China’s growth prospects.

Debt ceiling negotiations continue to drive risk appetite while recession and inflation concerns persist. The Fed continues to push back on market rate cut expectations and questions on China’s growth outlook enters the fray this week.

The Fed meeting this week is front and center on investors mind’s this week, while recession concerns remain, and earnings season continues. JP Morgan bought First Republic from the FDIC and the Debt Limit fight continues.

Recession concerns remain ahead of this week’s 1Q GDP report, while earnings include bellwethers. Markets continue to price in Fed cuts later this year as the debt ceiling fight intensifies and inflation data continues to cool.

 

A Fed pause and eventual cut remains the main question driving markets as earnings season enters the discussion. Inflation and growth concerns move down a few spots while debt limit concerns enter the fray.